Fire SlimesTier 1
at Grand Archive
decks
3
(6.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
21
11-8-2
overall winrate
57.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.2%
avg ELO +2.0 per match
expected value
54.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1239
· median 1175
· range 1116–1424
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1053
Q1 1152
Q3 1336
1689
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.2% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 71.2% | +13.6 |
| Wind Allies | 15.9% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.2% | +1.2 |
| Slimes | 11.4% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 36.7% | -8.5 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 57.1% | +6.8 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
| Water Allies | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tonoris | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
